Individual Consultant: Strategic Foresight and Programme Planning Analyst

The Position:

The consultant will integrate strategic foresight analysis, conduct rigorous thematic reviews, leverage past evaluations, and support highly participatory stakeholder consultations to support the design of the programme in these areas Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights (SRHR), Adolescents and Youth (A&Y), Gender-Based Violence (GBV) and Female Genital Mutilation (FGM), and Population Dynamics and Demographic Intelligence.

The consultant will work under the overall guidance of the UNFPA Deputy Representative and direct supervision of the Population Data Specialist,

How you can make a difference:

UNFPA is the lead United Nations agency for delivering a world where every pregnancy is intended, every childbirth is safe, and every young person's potential is fulfilled. The UNFPA Strategic Plan for 2026-2029 articulates the organization’s response to a complex global environment, providing a roadmap for resilience and renewal. It is designed to accelerate the implementation of the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) and the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030. This mandate is pursued through a focus on four interconnected outcomes: ending the unmet need for family planning; ending preventable maternal deaths; ending gender-based violence and harmful practices; and adapting to demographic change through evidence and rights-based policies.

In a world where fundamental human rights are at risk, we need principled and ethical staff who embody these international norms and standards and will defend them courageously and with full conviction.

UNFPA is seeking candidates who transform, inspire, and deliver high-impact sustained results, ensuring effective external relations, communications, partnership-building and resource mobilization in a rapidly changing development and funding landscape. We need staff who are transparent, exceptional in how they manage the resources entrusted to them, and who commit to delivering excellence in programme results

Consultancy Background Information

The United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) is the lead UN agency for delivering a world where every pregnancy is wanted, every childbirth is safe, and every young person's potential is fulfilled. The architecture of the UNFPA Strategic Plan, 2026-2029 is designed to build on previous achievements while responding to emerging global challenges with greater agility, integration and accountability. The Strategic Plan is structured around four key outcomes, with the first three replicating the three transformative results from the Strategic Plan, 2022-2025: (a) ending the unmet need for family planning; (b) ending preventable maternal deaths; and (c) ending GBV and harmful practices; it also introduces a new fourth outcome (d) focused on demographic change and population dynamics. This fourth outcome recognizes the critical role of population dynamics in all their complexity in shaping sustainable development and building climate resilience. It prioritizes the identification of rights-based policy options for countries to manage demographic change effectively. UNFPA work under this outcome, also reaffirms that population policy must not only anticipate and support countries through demographic shifts but also protect and expand individuals’ rights and choices.

The UNFPA's Strategic Plan (2026–2029) serves as a roadmap for resilience and renewal, aimed at advancing sexual and reproductive health and rights, accelerating implementation of the ICPD Programme of Action, and ensuring that individual rights and choices remain at the Centre of sustainable development. A key priority under the new Strategic Plan is outcome 4, which focuses on helping countries adapt to demographic change in ways that strengthen societal resilience while upholding human rights, gender equality, and individual choice. Through this outcome, UNFPA supports the government using population data, demographic analysis, and foresight to develop evidence-based and people-centered policies related to adolescents and youth, human capital, demographic resilience, SRHR, GBV and other harmful practices while ensuring that no one is left behind.

As the Kenya 10th Country Programme (CP) ends in June 2027, the UNFPA Kenya Country Office is embarking on the design and formulation of its 11th Country Programme Document (CPD) (2027-2032). This new programme cycle must seamlessly align with Kenya’s national priorities in the next Medium-Term Plan of the Kenya Vision 2030, the next cycle of the United Nations Sustainable Development Cooperation Framework (UNSDCF), and the corporate UNFPA Strategic Plan (2026-2029).

Job Purpose

To ensure the 11th CPD is forward-looking, evidence-driven, and agile enough to navigate emerging socio-economic, technological and environmental shifts, the UNFPA KCO is seeking candidates who are transformative, embraces Artificial Intelligence and have futuristic modelling mindset to join the country team as Strategic Foresight and Programme Planning Analyst consultant in developing the country programme.

The Consultant will provide day-to-day technical, programmatic support for the implementation of UNFPA activities in population and development specifically in development of CPD, UNCA and 10

th

CPE, in close coordination with the Programme team at the Country Office.

Consultancy scope of work:

Under the overall guidance of the UNFPA Deputy Representative and direct supervision of the Population Data Specialist, the consultant will perform the following comprehensive tasks:

Conduct collection, consolidation and uploading signals into the Signal Scanner platform and conduct continuous review updating and facilitate validation of signals in the Signal Scanner platform.

Support multi-dimensional strategic foresight analysis to identify emerging megatrends, uncertainties, and disruptive signals/drivers (e.g., climate shocks, digital transformations, technology-facilitated GBV, demographic shifts) impacting adolescents, youth, SRHR, and harmful practices in Kenya.

Support development of scenario-building profiles outlining the future paths regarding SRHR outcomes, youth development, and rates of GBV/FGM across different Kenyan counties over the next 15 years.

Extract, clean, and synthesize secondary quantitative and qualitative data from diverse sources (e.g., Kenya Demographic and Health Survey, census data, DHIS2, national administrative data, and academic literature) to feed directly into the UN Country Analysis (CA) and the Future Trends Analysis.

Conduct a meta-analysis and synthesis of the Country Programme Evaluations, mid-term reviews, thematic evaluations, and relevant UN joint programme assessments and distill specific successes, systemic bottlenecks, and operational lessons learned from past interventions to inform the strategic shifts and Theory of Change of the 11th CPD.

support logistical tracking for a series of CPD development workshops (including internal team retreats, co-creation sessions with partners and stakeholders tracking participation of key organizations such as youth-led and women led organizations, government line ministries, civil society, and development partners.

Identify and analyze traditional and non-traditional partners (including the private sector and tech innovators) to maximize contribution in foresight analysis and CPD development.

Support facilitation of strategic consultation meetings aimed at building consensus on geographic targeting, priority interventions, and the overall alignment with national priorities.

Map proposed UNFPA outcomes and outputs directly against the strategic pillars and indicators of the CA and the next UNSDCF to avoid duplication and maximize UNFPA contribution to joint UN action.

Support in drafting high-quality technical position papers, brief notes, and initial narrative components of the 11th CPD and CA based on inputs gathered from workshops and foresight exercises, adhering strictly to UNFPA corporate formatting guidelines.

Consultancy Deliverables

The consultant will deliver the following products during the consultancy period:

Updated Signal Scanner platform: At least 150 signals are collected, validated and uploaded

in the Signal

Scanner platform.

Meta-Evaluation & Synthesis Paper. | Consolidated review of the programme evaluations on lessons learned and structural recommendations for the 11

th

CPD.

Workshop Package & Consultation Reports. Comprehensive summary reports for all stakeholder co-creation workshops held for 11

th

CPD development.

Foresight & Country Analysis Report: A synthesized analytical report featuring data-mining outcomes, horizon scanning and demographic profiling.

Technical inputs to the 11th CPD. Thematic strategy notes from the future trend analysis aligned to the UNSDCF and UNCA.

Documentation of the GoK/UNFPA 11th CPD formulation process

Working and Payment schedule

This consultancy is limited to four (4) months between September and December 2026.

The consultant will have a work plan for the entire period with monthly milestones based on the scope and expected deliverables.

The payment will be on a monthly basis after completion of monthly milestones as agreed in the work plan and the deliverables.

Monitoring and progress control, including reporting requirements, periodicity format and

deadline:

The consultant will work under overall guidance of the UNFPA Representative/Deputy Representative and direct supervision of the Population Data Specialist.

The Population Data Specialist will hold regular meetings with the consultants to review progress on the work being done.

The consultant will prepare a monthly report detailing the deliverables for the month as expected in the work plan.

Deliverables will be assessed for quality and to the extent they fulfill the

Requirements

of the TOR

Place where services are to be delivered:

The consultancy will take place in Nairobi, Kenya.

The consultancy will be a hybrid setup. A desk space within the UNFPA Kenya Country Office will be provided for critical office work, meetings and workshop execution.

The consultant is expected to utilize their computer, internet, telephone and other equipment, as needed, to undertake this assignment.

Travel is not expected, however, should the need arise, any related costs will be funded by UNFPA.

Qualifications and

for the position and that you qualify. Applications from non-qualifying applicants will most likely be discarded by the recruiting manager.

Summary by Impactpool

The UNFPA is seeking an Individual Consultant for the role of Strategic Foresight and Programme Planning Analyst to support the development of the 11th Country Programme Document (CPD) in Kenya. The consultant will conduct strategic foresight analysis, thematic reviews, and stakeholder consultations to inform program design in areas such as Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights, Gender-Based Violence, and Population Dynamics. This role requires a forward-looking, evidence-driven approach to navigate socio-economic and technological shifts. The consultant will work closely with the UNFPA team to ensure alignment with national priorities and the UNFPA Strategic Plan for 2026-2029.

Candidate

Advanced degree in Population Studies, Demography, Data Science, or related field

Minimum 2 years of

Experience

Minimum 2 years of

in programme planning and strategic foresight analysis.

Demonstrate

in applying Foresight methodologies, thematic research, data mining, data analysis, and programme monitoring and evaluation.

Thematic knowledge of the national context and UN landscape in Kenya regarding Population and development, SRHR, Adolescents and Youth development, GBV, and FGM elimination programming.

Prior

in thematic areas relevant to the UNFPA mandate, including population and development, SRHR, GBV, FGM, HIV/AIDS, social inclusion, and intergenerational exchange is considered an asset

Proven

in working in partnership with government institutions, development partners, the academic community, and civil society organizations (CSOs).

Strong analytical, interpersonal, and organizational skills, with the ability to manage multiple tasks, meet tight deadlines, and work effectively under pressure.

Languages:

Fluent in written and spoken English

Other relevant information or special conditions

The consultant will be asked to declare any potential conflict of interest before undertaking the work. The consultant will discharge his/her functions exclusively as consultant to the UNFPA Kenya Country Office.

UNFPA will support the consultant to make the necessary contacts with government and relevant partners.

UNFPA will facilitate all relevant documents related to this assignment and will be shared with the consultant once the assignment is awarded.

UNFPA will facilitate the use of UNFPA virtual platforms or physical meetings, where necessary, for presentation of results and stakeholder engagements.

Consultancy rates shall be guided by UNFPA policies.

The consultant will be expected to undertake some mandatory courses (if not done previously) such as Security (BESAFE), Fraud and Corruption Awareness and Prevention-Anti-Fraud, the Prevention of Sexual Exploitation and Abuse (PSEA).

Required Competencies:

Values:

Exemplifying integrity,

Demonstrating commitment to UNFPA and the UN system,

Embracing cultural diversity,

Embracing change

Core Competencies:

Achieving results,

Being accountable,

Developing and applying professional expertise/business acumen,

Thinking analytically and strategically,

Working in teams/managing ourselves and our relationships,

UNFPA Work Environment:

UNFPA provides a work environment that reflects the values of gender equality, diversity, integrity and healthy work-life balance. We are committed to ensuring gender parity in the organization and therefore encourage women to apply. Individuals from the LGBTQIA+ community, minority ethnic groups, indigenous populations, persons with disabilities, and other underrepresented groups are highly encouraged to apply. Reasonable accommodation may be provided to applicants with disabilities upon request, to support their participation in the recruitment process. UNFPA promotes equal opportunities in terms of appointment, training, compensation and selection for all regardless of personal characteristics and dimensions of diversity. Diversity, Equity and Inclusion is at the heart of UNFPA's workforce - click

here

to learn more.

Disclaimer:

Selection and appointment may be subject to background reference checks and other administrative requirements.

UNFPA does not charge any application, processing, training, interviewing, testing or other fee in connection with the application or recruitment process and does not concern itself with information on applicants' bank accounts.

At Impactpool we do our best to provide you the most accurate info, but closing dates may be wrong on our site. Please check on the recruiting organization's page for the exact info. Candidates are responsible for complying with deadlines and are encouraged to submit applications well ahead.

Before applying, please make sure that you have read the

in programme planning and strategic foresight analysis

in applying foresight methodologies and data analysis

Thematic knowledge of Population and Development, SRHR, and GBV

Proven

working with government and civil society organizations

Strong analytical and organizational skills

Fluent in written and spoken English

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Individual Consultant: Strategic Foresight and Programme Planning Analyst

UNFPA - United Nations Population Fund

Nairobi

International

Consultant - Contractors Agreement level

Speaks English

Apply

Education

• Advanced degree in any of the following fields: Population Studies, Demography, Data science, Economics Development Studies, Statistics, Sociology, or related field
• Knowledge and